#FantasyBaseball: Synopsis of Commercial Projection Systems


The image above lists several of the prominent fantasy baseball commercial projections systems. My notes about methodology for each are included on the image.

The article by Mr. Cheatsheet linked below evaluated performance of each projection system for 2017 and 2018. Hopefully, a similar article will be forthcoming in a few months evaluating performance of 2019 projection systems.

The ATC and Mr. Cheatsheet system take projections from Steamer and ZiPS and blends the two. The formulas for the blending process are unknown. The idea of this is mitigation of risk. Over the long haul, the blended projections should perform in between the two systems chosen to blend. 

Going into 2020, I would select one of the above referenced projection systems and then make tweaks based upon personal projections.

The greatest variable for all of these projections is playing time. Estimating that seems like a giant guess verses any systemic analysis. 

A guide to the projection systems, Henry Druschel, @henrydruschel (SBNation Feb. 22, 2016);

RANKING THE ACCURACY OF LAST YEAR’S PROJECTIONS, Luke Gloekner, @mrcheatsheet (Mr. Cheatsheet Mar. 9, 2019)

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s